![]() Should the hurricane stall close to landfall, the southeast coast of Florida could see anywhere from six to 12 inches of rain, with some spots getting up to 18 inches, the Miami Herald reported. Questions on how to best board up windows and what to do in case of an evacuation populated social media.Īs of Saturday morning Dorian’s sustained wind speeds led officials in the Bahamas to issue a hurricane warning for the northwestern Bahamas with “life-threatening storm surge and devastating hurricane-force winds” expected, according to the Hurricane Center. Long lines of residents seeking to top off their tanks surrounded gas stations. Store shelves of water, batteries and other emergency supplies were emptied Friday, with employees rushing to restock. For much of Friday, forecasts from the National Hurricane Center had the entire Florida Peninsula within the “cone of uncertainty," the area within which the storm is most likely to travel. Local residents as well as those across the state weren’t wasting time preparing. ![]() “It could easily shift back,” he said of the latest forecast. And Dennis Feltgen, spokesman for the National Hurricane Center, cautioned that there remains too much uncertainty about the storm’s track. While the new direction could potentially mean a lesser blow to the state’s west coast, including Tampa Bay, it is still expected to bring heavy rains and tropical storm force winds. Storm surge and hurricane-force winds are still an issue for the east coast early to mid next week, although the National Hurricane Center said it’s too early where along the coast will see the highest surge and winds. 4TMge67NcH- NWS Tampa Bay August 31, 2019 While this shift lowers the threat to west central and southwest Florida, continue to monitor the forecast as additional changes to the track forecast are expected in the next few days. This study also presents a new annual series of regionalized GDP estimates by island from 1992 to 2018, and on a monthly basis, from January 2012 to September 2019.5 AM Saturday update: The forecast track of Hurricane Dorian continues to shift east. Satellite night lights observed from the space are publicly available and have been used before to measure economic activity. These estimates were obtained by comparing the spatial variation of satellite night lights as an indicator of the country's economic activity before and after Hurricane Dorian. Abaco shows a reduction in monthly economic activity of 54 percent comparing September 2019 to September 2018, and Grand Bahama registered a 34 percent decrease. The islands that suffered the most from this event have recorded significant decreases in their economic activity. The results suggest that the GDP growth rate in most of the 19 islands that comprise The Bahamas suffered a sharp decrease because of Hurricane Dorian. Under these circumstances, this paper proposes a methodology to track the economic recovery of The Bahamas on a monthly basis. ![]() The IMF reduced GDP growth estimates for 2019 to 0.9 percent, and the economy is expected to contract in 2020. Dorians effects also resulted in the revision of The Bahamas economic growth forecast. The estimated damages and losses from it amount to US$3.4 billion (IDB, 2019), a number equivalent to a quarter of the countrys GDP. Hurricane Dorian has been among the most devastating natural disasters ever to hit The Bahamas.
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